Sports Marketwatch - Early Moves Edition
NFL
Week 19 - Playoff Edition
1/12/2007 11:01 AM EST
by Daniel Fabrizio
SportsInsights.com
Welcome to this week's edition of the
Sports Marketwatch where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of SportsInsights.com gives sports fans
unprecedented insight into the NFL point spread market. If you ever wanted to
know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all
access pass with Sports Marketplace! Every Tuesday and Friday afternoon he
speaks directly with the line managers at Pinnacle , 5Dimes.com,
BetUs.com, and Oasis about which games the public is chasing and
the Sharps are pounding.
Sports Marketwatch – NFL Week 19
NFL Regular
Season
SportsInsights.com NFL Regular Season Games to Watch analysis
finished strong on its “march to the bank,” going 2-0. For the regular
season, that makes SportsInsights.com Games to Watch an impressive
31-18-1 = 63.3%. Not bad for a free weekly column. If you have enjoyed the
insights this column proves, please be sure to visit SportsInsights.com and sign
up for a membership. Your bankroll will thank you for it!
• 2006 Games
to Watch = 31-18 = 63.3%
• 2005 Games to Watch = 33-25 = 56.9%
• Overall =
64-43 = 59.8%
NFL Wild Card
Weekend
SportsInsights.com NFL Playoff Edition Games to Watch
picked up where the Regular Season left off, going 1-0. Indy played inspired
ball for 4 quarters, on way to a 23-8 rout of KC.
View
last week’s column. *Source:
SportsInsights.com
NFL Playoff Edition - Games to
Watch (1-0)
The NFL Playoffs are a totally different animal
than the NFL Regular season. The amount of “Public” square bets skyrockets. The
culmination of this trend is the Super Bowl, the most wagered sporting event of
the year. Everyone, and their mother, wagers on the Super Bowl.
For
value-minded sports investors, this massive influx of “Public” money means
opportunity. During the NFL Playoffs, odds makers heavily weigh Public opinion
when deciding on a game’s betting line. They’ll shade a line 2-3 pts knowing
that the Public will be heavily on one side. “Public Money” dwarfs the amount of
“Sharp Money” buying back the shaded lines.
| 1/12/2007
Pinnacle Players Promotions
We realize that Pinnacle pulling out of the US market caught a lot of players
off guard. The staff at Sports Insights has put together the following promos
for SI members. Click for Details - NEW!!!
|
Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears
We like this game
because of the early Sharp Money on Chicago. CRIS opened at Chicago –8 and
within minutes retreated to -9. The line has stabilized at –8.5/9 at most books.
Seattle is by far the weakest team remaining in the playoffs. Chicago is a
talented squad that has had two weeks to prepare for this game. Their offense
will benefit the most from the extra week. Look for QB Rex Grossman to get it
back on track as Chicago makes a run for the Super Bowl. We’re laying -8.5 while
it’s still on the board and looking for Chicago’s D to shut down Seattle – and
Chicago’s O to hammer it home.
Chicago Bears
-8.5
Games to Watch – Playoff Edition
(1-0)
Chicago Bears -8.5
It should be another exciting
NFL Playoff weekend. Keep Sports Marketwatch picks handy and your browser
pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our
exclusive Sports Investing tools.
I’ll be back next Friday with the new
edition of the Sports Marketwatch.
Enjoy the games!
Daniel
Fabrizio
President
SportsInsights.com