Sports Marketwatch -
NCAA Basketball Edition
2009-10 NCAA Basketball Games
to Watch: 0-0, 0%*
*Source: SportsInsights.com
Purdue -2 over Tennessee - 8:30pm EST
The Virgin Islands Paradise Jam has come to its defining
moment, and the two teams everyone wants to see are facing off for the
tournament championship. Seventh-ranked Purdue will take on tenth-ranked
Tennessee in a clash of styles. Both teams are loaded with talented veterans,
so a simple outclassing of one side is unlikely. While Purdue will likely rely
on the halfcourt efficiency and versatility of Robbie Hummel and E'Twaun Moore,
Tennessee will apply defensive pressure early and often in hopes of scoring
points off turnovers.
Purdue opened as the slightest of favorites: -1 at both CRIS
and Pinnacle. It is the Volunteers, though, who are getting the majority of
public support, specifically 56% of spread bets and 60% of parlay and teaser
bets. Normally, this might be enough to bring the line to a pick 'em. Instead,
the spread has grown across the board, all the way to Purdue -2.5 at a number of
sportsbooks. The reverse line movement indicates some big, sharp money in
play... just the kind we like to follow. A number of books will let you save a
half-point, certainly a wise idea in what could be a very tight finish.
Purdue -2
Fresno State +3.5 over San Diego State - 10:00pm
EST
The Bulldogs of Fresno State will look to rebound from a
surprising loss at Seattle last week as they welcome the Aztecs of San Diego
State. To do so, they'll need sophomore swingman Paul George to continue to
fill the stat sheet. George is averaging 19.3 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.0
steals a game, leading the team in all three categories. The Aztecs will
counter with a deeper attack, as key contributors off the bench have emerged
only three games into the season.
Visiting San Diego State has received 68% of both spread and
parlay wagers on this match-up, but the line has moved against them by at least
a full point across the entire sports marketplace. They opened as 4.5-point
favorites, and if you wanted to take them, you could now do so laying only three
points at many books. The reverse line movement means something altogether
different to us, and it triggered a Smart Money play at Grande (4-1, +2.64
Units). We've also seen Steam from perennial
college basketball standout 5Dimes (24-13, +8.8 Units), which is more than
enough to convince us which way to go in this California tilt.
Fresno State +3.5
Games to Watch
(0-0)
Purdue -2
Fresno State +3.5
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It should be an exciting night
of college action in the sports marketplace. Keep Sports
Marketwatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest
real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools.
We’ll be back next Monday with a
new college basketball edition of Sports Marketwatch.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at
SportsInsights.com