9/25/2009 5:00 PM EST
By The Team at SportsInsights.com
Welcome to the 2009 MLB Sports Marketwatch, where the Team at SportsInsights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the sports marketplace. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketwatch! Sports MarketWatch will be published twice weekly on Tuesday and Friday, around 5PM Eastern Time.
Sports Marketplace – MLB Edition
Marketwatch came out on both sides of one-run games Tuesday. Seattle’s Ichiro Suzuki hit a two-run homerun, powering the Mariners and Marketwatch to a 4-3 victory. San Diego scored four runs in the top of the ninth inning, but came up one run shy in an 11-10 loss to Colorado, giving us a split for the day.
2009 MLB Games to Watch: 47-47, 50%, +18.07 units
Sports MarketWatch – MLB Games to Watch
Colorado Rockies +139 over St. Louis Cardinals
With eleven games left in the regular season, the Colorado Rockies hold a 3.5-game lead in the NL Wild Card standings over the streaking Atlanta Braves. The St. Louis Cardinals currently enjoy a 9.5-game lead in the NL Central and have reduced their magic number to one heading into tonight’s game. The Rockies have won all four matchups against St. Louis this season, and the push they are receiving from Atlanta could be enough to motivate them against the Cardinals and Chris Carpenter.
St. Louis opened at -153 at Pinnacle and the line has shrunk to -145. The Cards are receiving huge public backing, garnering 62% of runline wagers and 76 % of moneyline wagers. Canbet (+24.7 units) triggered a Steam Move on Colorado at +135, and, at the time of publication, multiple sportsbooks are offering +139, giving even better value to the Rocks. Colorado is at home, has more to play for than the Cardinals and has a big-time Steam Move behind them.
Colorado +139 (CRIS)
Chicago Cubs +153 over San Francisco
The San Francisco Giants were dealt a heart-breaking loss last night when Jeff Baker hit a two-out, two-run homer off closer Brian Wilson in Chicago’s 3-2 victory. The Giants have fallen to third in the NL Wild Card Standings, four games back with only nine to play. Tonight they hope ace Tim Lincecum (14-6, 2.47 ERA) can help shake off the sting of yesterday’s loss. The Cubs will counter with Carlos Zambrano (8-6, 3.91 ERA), who is 6-2 with a 3.02 ERA on the road this season, as they continue to play the role of spoiler.
San Francisco opened as a -163 favorite at Pinnacle and the public is heavily behind the home team. Ninty-one percent of runline bets, 78% of moneyline bets and 84% of parlay bets are backing the Giants, yet the line has shrunk to -156. A Steam Move on Chicago was triggered at Phoenix (+11.2 units), a move Marketwatch will gladly follow. Give us the Cubbies in game two.
Chicago Cubs +153 (Matchbook)
Games to Watch (47-47, +18.07 units)
Colorado Rockies +139 (CRIS)
Chicago Cubs +153 (Matchbook)
It should be another exciting night in the sports marketplace. Keep Sports MarketWatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. We’ll be back Friday with the new edition of the Sports Marketwatch – MLB Edition.
Enjoy the games!
The Team at SportsInsights.com