We recently introduced a new line movement prediction tool which is helpful in forecasting reverse line movement! Learn more on the Sports Insights Line Predictor page!
Reverse line movement refers to betting line movement that contradicts the public betting percentages.
For example, consider Indianapolis Colts -14 vs. Oakland Raiders +14.
Sports Insights’ NFL Betting Trends data is reporting that 80% of the spread bets being placed are on Indianapolis, but the line moves against the Colts to -13.
|Team||Betting Percentage||Current Line||Opening Line|
This is a sure sign that smart money, or large wagers made by single individuals or betting syndicates, has come in on Oakland, causing reverse line movement. You would immediately search for a sportsbook offering Oakland +14 and quickly get down.
This method is enormously successful and is the backbone of our Smart Money Betting System.