The Effect of QB Injuries on the Patriots/Bills Week 1 Line

First, rookie EJ Manuel underwent minor surgery to address swelling in his left knee. A week later, Kevin Kolb suffered a devastating concussion that, according to reports, may be career threatening. Now, undrafted rookie Jeff Tuel is expected to start the Bills’ season opener against the Patriots. With Buffalo’s quarterback situation more cringeworthy than Miley…

Oddsmakers Project Pivotal 2013 Fantasy Football Sleepers

The NFL preseason kicks off Sunday with the Miami Dolphins facing the Dallas Cowboys, which means fantasy football fiends around the globe are doing hardcore research to prepare for their drafts. While Yahoo, NFL.com and ESPN all utilize a team of fantasy gurus to compile their rankings, we’re more curious about the people with real…

How to Middle NFL Halftime Lines

While the popularity of teasers and parlays has grown over the past several years, NFL bettors still predominantly bet on the spread when placing a wager. With more and more sportsbooks offering live, in-game odds in addition to both 1st and 2nd half lines, bettors have more options than ever. But is there any value…

Identifying Sharp Money When Betting on the NFL

When it comes to wagering on any sport, bettors always want to know where the sharp or smart money is going. For years we have preached the value of betting against the public, and it has been incredibly profitable — just take a look at our vaunted 80/20 betting system. Square bettors love to pound…

Use Sportsbook Shading to Win More this NFL Season

Sportsbooks regularly “shade” lines in anticipation of overwhelming public action on one side of an NFL matchup. For example, the Texans will travel to San Diego to take on the Chargers in Week 1 of the 2013-14 NFL season. At the time of publication, the Texans are receiving 74% of spread bets as 3-point favorites…