Chiefs vs Broncos: A historic difference of styles

This week’s marquee NFL matchup features the 9-0 Kansas City Chiefs traveling to Denver to take on the 8-1 Broncos.  Their records are similar but everything else about the two teams couldn’t be more different. The Broncos were (and still are) the heavy Super Bowl favorites coming into the season.  The Chiefs were a popular…

Broncos Loss Guarantees Another Losing Week for the Betting Public

Lost in Peyton Manning’s return to Indy, Reggie Wayne’s season-ending injury and a kicker’s ridiculous tackle is that another NFL team, popular among bettors, failed to cover the spread. The Broncos (76% of spread bets) joined the Patriots (77%) as teams that received more than 75% of spread wagers as road favorites and lost straight…

Is There a Disadvantage for NFL West Coast Teams Traveling East?

When making predictions, ranking fantasy football players or justifying betting decisions, experts love turning to generic theories to backup their opinions. However, when using these concepts, experts often conveniently forget to back these theories with data and statistics. Over the last couple of years, we’ve taken it upon ourselves to do the legwork and prove…

NFL Week 6 Betting – Line Moves that Matter

Note: This post was updated at 9:25 a.m. ET on 10/12 to reflect the most recent line movement regarding this game. For the most part, NFL Week 6 has been quiet from a line-movement perspective. However, one game has seen an interesting adjustment that grabbed our attention. Pittsburgh Steelers (pk) at New York Jets Pittsburgh…

NFL Week 5 Betting – Line Moves that Matter

Having access to live odds and real-time betting data is a huge advantage for NFL bettors, but it’s important not to go overboard and blindly follow every line move. Instead, bettors must first determine why the line moved and pinpoint where the value lies with the new number. Oftentimes, the line adjustment kills the value…