NFL Opening Line Report – Week 16

Every Monday, we take a look at the opening lines for next week’s NFL games: Team Betting % Open Current Notes Texans 75% -6.5 -6.0 Lone Thursday night matchup puts AFC South in national spotlight. With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a big half-point away from home dog Indy, three out of four…

Week 15 NFL 80/20 Betting System Update

This year, we’ve highlighted the 80/20 Rule in regards to NFL betting. The 80/20 NFL Rule refers to games where a home underdog is receiving 20% or fewer of spread bets (using Sports Insights’ NFL Betting Trends Data). Last week, the system went 2-0, as both Washington and Arizona covered the spread, improving the system’s…

The Denver Broncos and the Value of 8-Point Home Dogs

As anticipation for this weekend’s epic showdown between the Patriots and Broncos reaches a fever pitch, the team at Sports Insights has found that this game may fit a very profitable model. In a 2003 article, we examined the value of betting on late season underdogs and uncovered a noticeable home field bias between weeks…

Thursday Night Football Betting Trends: Jaguars vs. Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons opened as 10.5 point favorites at the market-setting Cris sportbook and, according to Sports Insights’ NFL Betting Trends, is currently receiving 62% of all spread bets. This slanted betting percentage has shifted the line 3 points to -13.5. The Falcons are playing with a number of key offensive players battling injuries, which is a…

NFL Opening Line Report – Week 15

Every Monday, we take a look at the opening lines for next week’s NFL games: Team Betting % Open Current Notes Jaguars 44% 10.5 11.0 Lone Thursday night matchup presents great value to the public, with spread bettors seemingly split down the middle as to who to take. Despite the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to…