Thursday Night Football Betting Trends: Texans vs. Colts

The Houston Texans opened as 6.5 point favorites at the market-setting Cris sportbook and, according to Sports Insights’ NFL Betting Trends, is currently receiving 83% of all spread bets. Despite this one-sided betting, the line remains at -6.5 at most books. With Indianapolis receiving such a low percentage of spread wagers at home, this game looks…

Peyton Who? Colts 3-0 ATS with Dan Orlovsky

With Kerry Collins and Curtis Painter under center for the first 11 weeks of the season, Indianapolis went winless and posted a dismal 2-9 record against the spread (ATS). After their Week 12 loss to the Carolina Panthers, Colts head coach Jim Caldwell installed Dan Orlovsky as the team’s new starting quarterback. Since the change…

NFL Opening Line Report – Week 16

Every Monday, we take a look at the opening lines for next week’s NFL games: Team Betting % Open Current Notes Texans 75% -6.5 -6.0 Lone Thursday night matchup puts AFC South in national spotlight. With the sportsbooks adjusting their lines to take a big half-point away from home dog Indy, three out of four…

Week 15 NFL 80/20 Betting System Update

This year, we’ve highlighted the 80/20 Rule in regards to NFL betting. The 80/20 NFL Rule refers to games where a home underdog is receiving 20% or fewer of spread bets (using Sports Insights’ NFL Betting Trends Data). Last week, the system went 2-0, as both Washington and Arizona covered the spread, improving the system’s…

The Denver Broncos and the Value of 8-Point Home Dogs

As anticipation for this weekend’s epic showdown between the Patriots and Broncos reaches a fever pitch, the team at Sports Insights has found that this game may fit a very profitable model. In a 2003 article, we examined the value of betting on late season underdogs and uncovered a noticeable home field bias between weeks…