How to Middle NFL Halftime Lines

While the popularity of teasers and parlays has grown over the past several years, NFL bettors still predominantly bet on the spread when placing a wager. With more and more sportsbooks offering live, in-game odds in addition to both 1st and 2nd half lines, bettors have more options than ever. But is there any value…

Identifying Sharp Money When Betting on the NFL

When it comes to wagering on any sport, bettors always want to know where the sharp or smart money is going. For years we have preached the value of betting against the public, and it has been incredibly profitable — just take a look at our vaunted 80/20 betting system. Square bettors love to pound…

Use Sportsbook Shading to Win More this NFL Season

Sportsbooks regularly “shade” lines in anticipation of overwhelming public action on one side of an NFL matchup. For example, the Texans will travel to San Diego to take on the Chargers in Week 1 of the 2013-14 NFL season. At the time of publication, the Texans are receiving 74% of spread bets as 3-point favorites…

Why are Key Numbers so Important in NFL Betting?

Because NFL teams most often score in multiples of 3 (field goals) and 7 (touchdowns + extra points), getting on or off these key numbers can have a significant effect on your winning percentage and units won. For example, since 2003 there have been 2,670 NFL games played (including both regular and postseason games). 411…

What Were the Most Impactful NFL Offseason Moves?

The NFL season is still months away but it’s been a busy off-season with a number of key players changing teams. After many successful years in New England, Wes Welker will be catching passes from Peyton Manning in Denver. The Dolphins finally added a deep threat to their passing game with the addition of Mike…