NBA Betting Trends: Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat

In today’s marquee NBA matchup, the Bulls will travel to Miami to face the Heat in what many anticipate will be a preview of the Eastern Conference finals.

The Heat opened as a 5-point favorite at the market-setting Cris sportsbook, according to Sports Insights’ NBA Betting Trends, is currently receiving 51% of spread wagers. Despite this even public betting, the line has dropped half of a point to -4.5.

While Dwyane Wade finally returned to the lineup Friday (going 11-19 for 28 points) after missing six games with an ankle injury, the Bulls are coping with a litany of injuries. Richard Hamilton is questionable with a groin injury, but perhaps more significant is the health of Luol Deng.

The Duke alum, who would likely be tasked with the responsibility of guarding LeBron James, is not expected to play today due to a wrist injury. If Deng is unable to play, Ronnie Brewer would likely replace him in the starting lineup. Any change to Deng’s status would affect the line, so make sure to check in with our NBA Injuries page for up to the minute updates.

Although there have been no positive system plays triggered on the spread, it’s worth noting that there was a steam move triggered on the over at 189.5 at ABC (+6.92 units earned).  Our data shows that the over is only receiving 32% of public bets, meaning that sharp money likes the over on this game.

A majority of the market has this game available at 4.5, but Diamond is currently offering a line of -4. This once again illuminates the importance of shopping for the best line.

The following table shows the breakdown of spread betting percentages from our six contributing sportsbooks:


Team

# Bets

Sportsbook

BetUS

Carib

WagerWeb

5Dimes

SIA
Chicago 9294 32% 54% 45% 51% 52% 50%
Miami 68% 46% 55% 49% 48% 50%

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