20
September
College Football Opening Line Report- Week 4
09/20/2011
Every Tuesday, we take a look at the early line movement and college football betting trends for the 15 most heavily bet games, in terms of the number of total bets.
| Team | Betting % | Current | Open | Notes |
| NC State | 26% | 7.5 | 7.0 | Heavy spotlight on this matchup of 2-1 teams as it is the lone Thursday night (9/22) game. The public continues to heavily favor the Bearcats at home, moving the line slightly in favor of Cincy winning by at least one TD. |
| Cincinnati U | 74% | -7.5 | -7.0 | |
| LSU | 87% | -5.5 | -5.0 | Most heavily bet game of the week so far, with the public hammering undefeated LSU (3-0), especially after their convincing 19-6 win over then #25 Miss. St. last weekend. |
| West Virginia | 13% | 5.5 | 5.0 | |
| Notre Dame | 79% | -6.5 | -6.0 | After blowout of then #15 MSU last weekend, the Irish bandwagon appears healthy once again, with nearly 8 out of 10 bets taking Notre Dame on the road. |
| Pittsburgh | 21% | 6.5 | 6.0 | |
| Florida State | 62% | Pick | -3.0 | Great value here as reverse-line movement has resulted in a pick-em scenario for the public. |
| Clemson | 38% | Pick | 3.0 | |
| Oklahoma State | 65% | 4.0 | 3.0 | Epic Big-12 matchup between two top-10, undefeated teams, with public favoring the Aggies slightly at home. |
| Texas A&M | 35% | -4.0 | -3.0 | |
| USC | 62% | 2.5 | 3.0 | Another case of reverse line movement, with the public showing less and less confidence in the Sun Devils at home. |
| Arizona State | 38% | -2.5 | -3.0 | |
| Rice | 16% | 20.0 | 18.0 | In one of the most lopsided games of the week, the public is hammering Baylor at home, making visiting Rice even more of a longshot to upset the heavily favored Bears. |
| Baylor | 84% | -20.0 | -18.0 | |
| Oregon | 87% | -15.0 | -13.5 | The 2-1 Ducks head to Wildcat country intent on exploiting the porous Arizona D. Could be a long day for ‘Zona and the public seems to agree. |
| Arizona U | 13% | 15.0 | 13.5 | |
| Missouri | 34% | 22.0 | 21.0 | Despite owning a 2-1 record, visiting Missouri is a massive underdog against the streaking Soooners, with the line remaining steadily in favor of top-ranked Oklahoma. |
| Oklahoma | 66% | -22.0 | -21.0 | |
| Nebraska | 64% | -23.5 | -22.5 | After crushing Washington last weekend, the Cornhuskers head to Wyoming as massive favorites, with the line expecting #9 Nebraska to blow out the undefeated Cowboys (3-0) by at least three TDs. |
| Wyoming | 36% | 23.5 | 22.5 | |
| Nevada | 31% | 19.5 | 21.0 | Another case of revere-line movement here, with the adjusted line reflecting slightly less confidence in the Red Raiders at home. |
| Texas Tech | 69% | -19.5 | -21.0 | |
| UCLA | 47% | 4.5 | 3.0 | Great value here with the public evenly split in spread bets, even with the favored Beavers giving up another 1.5 points to the visiting Bruins. |
| Oregon State | 53% | -4.5 | -3.0 | |
| Vanderbilt | 59% | 16.0 | 15.0 | Despite narrowly defeating Army last week, Steve Spurrier’s Gamecocks remain heavy favorites to defeat visiting Vanderbilt by at least two TDs. |
| South Carolina | 41% | -16.0 | -15.0 | |
| Georgia | 78% | -9.5 | -10.0 | The line has remained relatively steady for this matchup, despite the visiting Bulldogs being hammered by the public. |
| Mississippi | 22% | 9.5 | 10.0 | |
| Kansas State | 27% | 12.0 | 13.0 | Another case of reverse-line movement, with the line adjusting to favor the Hurricanes slightly less as a result of the public hammering Miami. |
| Miami (FLA) | 73% | -12.0 | -13.0 |
* Betting Percentages reflect Sports Insights’ Spread Betting Trends Data
** Opening and Current Lines from 5Dimes
No Comments