College Football Betting Trends – Boise State vs. Toledo

Boise State opened as a 17.5 point favorite at Pinnacle and, according to Sports Insights’ College Football Betting Trends, is currently receiving 72% of all spread bets. That lopsided betting percentage has shifted the Pinnacle line 2.5 points to -20. In fact, after a survey of the marketplace we see that the spread varies between -19.5 (-110) at Olympic and actually reaches a key number with -21 (-105) at Bodog.

While most books (such as the market setting CRIS) have their line set at -20 (-110), there are a handful of line makers that have set a 21-point spread.  This exemplifies the importance of shopping for the best available line as a line move of 0.5 to 1.0 points can impact your expected winning percentage by 2%-5%.

The following table shows the breakdown of spread betting percentages from our six contributing sportsbooks:

Team # Bets Sportsbook BetUS Carib WagerWeb 5Dimes SIA
Boise State 25067 83% 70% 70% 77% 67% 77%
Toledo 17% 30% 30% 23% 33% 23%

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