2014 MLB Futures Comparison

We’re over two months into the MLB season and as usual there has been no shortage of surprises. The Toronto Blue Jays, who were expected to be cellar dwellers in the always competitive AL East, currently lead the division by 3.5 games. The Milwaukee Brewers, who most analysts assumed would struggle to compete with the Cardinals, Pirates and Reds, have a 4.5-game lead in the NL Central.

With this early season success, we have seen a serious shake-up from the pre-season MLB futures. In fact, the Brewers have moved from +7,000 to +1,400 at Sportsbook.com while the Jays have moved from +6,000 to +1,000.

The table below compares the odds at one of the sharper offshore sportsbooks (Greek) with two notoriously public books (Bovada and Sportsbook.com). All three of these books, along with BetOnline, are available to members at our newly updated futures page.

Team
Sportsbook (6/15)
Sportsbook (Pre-Season)
Bovada (Pre-Season)
Greek (Pre-Season)
Giants +500 +2000 +1800 +2000
Athletics +600 +2000 +1800 +1500
Tigers +700 +800 +850 +500
Dodgers +1000 +700 +650 +500
Blue Jays +1000 +6000 +2000 +4000
Cardinals +1000 +1100 +1200 +800
Nationals +1000 +1100 +1000 +800
Brewers +1400 +7000 +5000 +6500
Angels +1500 +2000 +1600 +1500
Braves +1700 +1800 +1800 +1800
Yankees +2500 +1200 +1000 +1200
Red Sox +3000 +1200 +1200 +800
Mariners +3000 +3000 +3300 +2500
Indians +3500 +5000 +3300 +2500
Royals +5000 +5000 +3300 +3000
Orioles +5000 +4000 +3300 +2500
Pirates +6000 +3500 +2500 +2500
Reds +6000 +2000 +1800 +1500
Rangers +8000 +2000 +1400 +1500
Rays +10000 +1600 +2200 +2000
Marlins +10000 +10000 +10000 +20000
White Sox +10000 +4000 +4000 +6500
Rockies +10000 +10000 +6600 +6500
Padres +20000 +10000 +5000 +6500
Cubs +30000 +6500 +4000 +8000
Mets +30000 +6500 +6600 +10000
Twins +30000 +12500 +7500 +12500
Astros +30000 +25000 +20000 +30000
Diamondbacks +50000 +5000 +4000 +2000
Phillies +50000 +5000 +3300 +4000

While Milwaukee and Toronto represent some of the best success stories, we’ve also seen a number of teams fail to measure up with their pre-season expectations. The defending champion Boston Red Sox are just 31-37 and have dropped from 12/1 to 30/1 to win the 2014 World Series. The Tampa Bay Rays were listed at +1,600 to win the World Series before the season, but with an anemic 26-43 record the Rays have dropped to +10,000.

Right now both World Series favorites reside in the Bay Area as the San Francisco Giants (+500) and Oakland Athletics (+600) currently hold the best records in their respective league’s.

Which teams do you think are currently offering value to bettors? Do you think the Red Sox will bounce back after a tough start? Will the Blue Jays continue their early success? Please leave your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below.

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