We’re over two months into the MLB season and as usual there has been no shortage of surprises. The Toronto Blue Jays, who were expected to be cellar dwellers in the always competitive AL East, currently lead the division by 3.5 games. The Milwaukee Brewers, who most analysts assumed would struggle to compete with the Cardinals, Pirates and Reds, have a 4.5-game lead in the NL Central.
With this early season success, we have seen a serious shake-up from the pre-season MLB futures. In fact, the Brewers have moved from +7,000 to +1,400 at Sportsbook.com while the Jays have moved from +6,000 to +1,000.
The table below compares the odds at one of the sharper offshore sportsbooks (Greek) with two notoriously public books (Bovada and Sportsbook.com). All three of these books, along with BetOnline, are available to members at our newly updated futures page.
While Milwaukee and Toronto represent some of the best success stories, we’ve also seen a number of teams fail to measure up with their pre-season expectations. The defending champion Boston Red Sox are just 31-37 and have dropped from 12/1 to 30/1 to win the 2014 World Series. The Tampa Bay Rays were listed at +1,600 to win the World Series before the season, but with an anemic 26-43 record the Rays have dropped to +10,000.
Right now both World Series favorites reside in the Bay Area as the San Francisco Giants (+500) and Oakland Athletics (+600) currently hold the best records in their respective league’s.
Which teams do you think are currently offering value to bettors? Do you think the Red Sox will bounce back after a tough start? Will the Blue Jays continue their early success? Please leave your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below.