2014 MLB Futures Comparison

We’re less than two months to go in the MLB season and as usual there has been no shortage of surprises. The Baltimore Orioles, who were expected to be cellar dwellers in the always competitive AL East, currently lead the division by 3 games. Similarly the Milwaukee Brewers, who most analysts assumed would struggle to compete with the Cardinals, Pirates and Reds, have a 3-game lead in the NL Central.

With this early season success, we have seen a serious shake-up from the pre-season MLB futures. In fact, the Brewers have moved from +7,000 to +1,600 at Sportsbook.com while the Orioles have moved from +5,000 to +1,000 over the last month.

The table below compares the odds at one of the sharper offshore sportsbooks (Greek) with two notoriously public books (Bovada and Sportsbook.com). All three of these books, along with BetOnline, are available to members at our newly updated futures page.

Team
Sportsbook (8/16)
Sportsbook (7/25)
Sportsbook (6/15)
Sportsbook (Pre-Season)
Bovada (Pre-Season)
Greek (Pre-Season)
Athletics +350 +400 +600 +2000 +1800 +1500
Dodgers +400 +450 +1000 +700 +650 +500
Tigers +600 +600 +700 +800 +850 +500
Nationals +900 +1000 +1000 +1100 +1000 +800
Angels +900 +1000 +1500 +2000 +1600 +1500
Orioles +1000 +1600 +5000 +4000 +3300 +2500
Cardinals +1400 +1200 +1000 +1100 +1200 +800
Brewers +1400 +1600 +1400 +7000 +5000 +6500
Giants +2000 +1000 +500 +2000 +1800 +2000
Royals +2500 +6000 +5000 +5000 +3300 +3000
Pirates +2500 +3500 +6000 +3500 +2500 +2500
Braves +2500 +2000 +1700 +1800 +1800 +1800
Mariners +3000 +3000 +3000 +3000 +3300 +2500
Blue Jays +3000 +2500 +1000 +6000 +2000 +4000
Yankees +4000 +1600 +2500 +1200 +1000 +1200
Reds +5500 +3500 +6000 +2000 +1800 +1500
Rays +7500 +5000 +10000 +1600 +2200 +2000
Indians +10000 +5000 +3500 +5000 +3300 +2500
Marlins +20000 +30000 +10000 +10000 +10000 +20000
Mets +20000 +30000 +30000 +6500 +6600 +10000
Red Sox +50000 +5000 +3000 +1200 +1200 +800
White Sox +50000 +30000 +10000 +4000 +4000 +6500
Phillies +200000 +75000 +50000 +5000 +3300 +4000
Padres +500000 +100000 +20000 +10000 +5000 +6500
Twins +500000 +100000 +30000 +12500 +7500 +12500
Diamondbacks +500000 +100000 +50000 +5000 +4000 +2000
Cubs +500000 +200000 +30000 +6500 +4000 +8000
Astros +900000 +150000 +30000 +25000 +20000 +30000
Rockies +900000 +150000 +10000 +10000 +6600 +6500
Rangers +900000 +200000 +8000 +2000 +1400 +1500

While Milwaukee and Baltimore represent some of the best success stories, we’ve also seen a number of teams fail to measure up with their pre-season expectations. The defending champion Boston Red Sox are in last in the AL East and have dropped from 12/1 to 500/1 to win the 2014 World Series.

You can also see that since acquiring Cubs RHP Jeff Samardzija, the Oakland Athletics have moved from 6/1 to 4/1 to win it all and remain the front runner in the AL. In fact, both World Series favorites reside in California with the Los Angeles Dodgers listed as the favorite in the National League.

Which teams do you think are currently offering value to bettors? Do you think the Red Sox will bounce back after a tough start? Will the Orioles continue their unlikely success? Please leave your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below.

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