We’re over two months into the MLB season and as usual there has been no shortage of surprises. The Baltimore Orioles, who were expected to be cellar dwellers in the always competitive AL East, currently lead the division by 3 games. Similarly the Milwaukee Brewers, who most analysts assumed would struggle to compete with the Cardinals, Pirates and Reds, have a 3-game lead in the NL Central.
With this early season success, we have seen a serious shake-up from the pre-season MLB futures. In fact, the Brewers have moved from +7,000 to +1,600 at Sportsbook.com while the Orioles have moved from +5,000 to +1,600 over the last month.
The table below compares the odds at one of the sharper offshore sportsbooks (Greek) with two notoriously public books (Bovada and Sportsbook.com). All three of these books, along with BetOnline, are available to members at our newly updated futures page.
While Milwaukee and Baltimore represent some of the best success stories, we’ve also seen a number of teams fail to measure up with their pre-season expectations. The defending champion Boston Red Sox are just 47-55 and have dropped from 12/1 to 50/1 to win the 2014 World Series.
You can also see that since acquiring Cubs RHP Jeff Samardzija, the Oakland Athletics have moved from 6/1 to 4/1 to win it all and remain the front runner in the AL. In fact, both World Series favorites reside in California with the Los Angeles Dodgers listed as the favorite in the National League despite trailing the San Francisco Giants by 1.5-games in the NL West.
Which teams do you think are currently offering value to bettors? Do you think the Red Sox will bounce back after a tough start? Will the Orioles continue their unlikely success? Please leave your thoughts and opinions in the comment section below.