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Academic Papers on Sports Betting

There already exist a sizable body of literature which examines the "efficiencies of the sports betting marketplace."  We attempt to examine some of the better known works in hopes of educating readers. Note that all the authors, unlike touts or "scamdicappers", do not guarantee winners. They also believe that the inefficiency they discover will fade out over time.

Sports Betting Academic Articles and Research

Total Bets - Always bet the UNDER - Academic research supporting betting the UNDER

NFL Betting Tendencies - Noted economist supports "Bet Against The Public" strategy

No Place Like Home - Looks at games that have national focus, Monday night and playoff games, from 1981-1996. Home dog on Monday night wins 65.6% of the time!

Price Predictability: Insights from the NFL Point Spread Market - Most studies look at seasonal biases, this paper looks at in-season bias. It analyzes games from 1981-2000. They find a late season bias in the NFL - weeks 15,16,17 and playoffs. 

Disclaimer
We do not guarantee that the trends and biases we’ve found will continue to exist. It is impossible to predict the future. Any serious academic research in the field of market efficiencies recognizes that inefficiencies may disappear over time. Once inefficiencies are discovered, it is only a matter of time before the market corrects itself. We do not guarantee our data is error-free. However, we’ve tried our best to make sure every score and percentage is correct.